Jake Mendel
Coefficient Giving
Worried, this week
Not scored yet. New voices get a score when the week closes on Sunday.
What they've said
- Thursday, Nov 5Week 45
Mendel, who said he had long held longer timelines than his friends at Anthropic, wrote after METR's report:
I now think that we are more than 50% likely to have full blown superintelligence in the next 18 months, absent a slowdown. I need to call my family.
He wrote that he had worried Anthropic staff were
believing the hype about their own models too much
, but that if METR is right,my Anthropic friends have been much more right about timelines than me.
He called the reportsome evidence that a software-only singularity is plausible
.Details and sources
His X profile says he works at Coefficient Giving on making AI
Xlove us
; his exact title was not checked.