People

Elon Musk

SpaceXAI

Capability 5Outlook 4

Tracked since Week 36, last spoke Oct 7.

Where they stand

Against all 17 people scored in Week 40. Bars count people at each score; black is Musk, the dashed line is the average.

What they've said

• Wednesday, Oct 7Week 41

  Musk said Grok Bot will send each task to the best backend model, including rivals' models, Whatever is most likely to give you the best outcome.

  In X posts he named Anthropic's Claude Opus 5.5, Midjourney and Suno as backends, and explained Simple questions will route to small, fast models. Questions with complex answers will route to large models. Gizmodo read it as SpaceX pivoting toward AI infrastructure rather than relying only on its own frontier models; that reading is the outlet's.

  Details and sources

  The X posts could not be opened; wording comes from Gizmodo and TeslaNorth. Times decoded from the post IDs are 12:46 AM and 9:04 AM Mountain on Oct 7.

  Gizmodo, TeslaNorth
• Week 40Sept 28 to Oct 4

  Signed the White House accord and described it as the companies grading each other's homework.

  Musk signed the Joint Commitment on Frontier Responsibilities on September 29 and explained it in his own terms: We agreed to a number of things that include joint monitoring, board special committees, just generally grading each other's homework. In a second account he added that this is a lot better than if people just grade their own homework. The commitment is voluntary and he offered no view on whether it will bind anyone. Scores hold at 5 and 4: he is backing outside checking, but still as an industry arrangement.

  Sources

  Sources

  • White House unveils 'super intelligence' executive order and industry accordNextgov, Sept 29
  • Trump touts AI boss pledge to self-regulateThe Korea Times, Sept 30
• Week 39Sept 21 to Sept 27

  Shipped Grok 4.7 and said SpaceXAI will reach pole position in about six months. His optimism is about winning; he said nothing on safety.

  Grok 4.7 shipped September 21, and on September 24 he posted the clearest acceleration claim of the window: We will keep accelerating. Our AI efforts are only 3 years old, vs 6 and 10 years old for Anthropic and OpenAI. If our second derivative remains strong, SpaceX will reach pole position in about 6 months. He expects a GPT-6-level model in 2 to 3 months and disclosed a buildout implying more than 1.2 million Nvidia GPUs by December.

  Outlook holds at 4 with a caveat that matters: this is competitive optimism, not safety optimism. He expects SpaceXAI to win. He said nothing in the window about pacing, cross-lab testing or the cartel suit, and We will keep accelerating quietly contradicts the pacing agreement he endorsed on September 12 without ever retracting it.

  Sources

  Sources

  • "We will keep accelerating" (post on X)X, Sept 24
  • Elon Musk says SpaceX's AI models may surpass Anthropic and OpenAI's in 6 monthsForbes, Sept 24
  • Musk plans to bring 1.2 million Nvidia GPUs onlineWccftech