People

Dario Amodei

Anthropic

Capability 5Outlook 2

Tracked since Week 36, last spoke Sept 29.

Where they stand

Against all 17 people scored in Week 40. Bars count people at each score; black is Amodei, the dashed line is the average.

What they've said

• Week 40Sept 28 to Oct 4

  Signed the accord while saying the mechanism for addressing risk is still under discussion.

  Amodei signed on September 29. The Korea Times quotes him: the technology has very real risks, and the mechanism, how we address those risks, is still under discussion, and whoever wins AI, wins. I think that's very important. The first line keeps his earlier position that the accord is a start. The second is a competitive framing in the same breath as the call for oversight. He did not repeat last month's call to slow down in anything we could verify this week. Scores hold at 5 and 2.

  Sources

  Sources

  • Trump touts AI boss pledge to self-regulateThe Korea Times, Sept 30
  • Trump touts AI executives' accord as a "constitution" for the industryCBS News, Sept 29
• Week 39Sept 21 to Sept 27

  Outlook 3 to 2

  Told the Security Council AI could be a risk to humanity as a whole, and promised Anthropic will slow down as much as needed.

  He briefed the UN Security Council on September 23 and said the thing he had not said before: If managed poorly, I even believe that AI could be a risk to humanity as a whole. He called it the most important global security issue facing the world today. That is a harder floor than the pacing essay two weeks ago, which argued about industry behaviour rather than outcomes.

  He also converted the September 12 industry proposal into a one-company promise: We will slow down as much as necessary in order to make sure that every successive AI technology that we release is actually safe. No trigger, no threshold, no named capability that would force it. Capability stays at 5 on his timeline claim, which he put at one or two years, maybe less to what he has called a country of geniuses in the data center. He did not respond to the cartel suit that names him personally.

  UN Security Council, 10228th meeting, September 23. Official transcript.

  Sources

  Sources

  • Security Council meeting 10228, official transcriptUnited Nations, Sept 23
• Week 37Sept 7 to Sept 13

  Capability 4 to 5

  His September 12 essay says recursive self-improvement is "starting to happen across the industry".