Week 42
September 28 to October 5, 2026This week in a paragraph
On September 29 Trump signed an executive order directing agencies to say super intelligence
and hosted Musk, Zuckerberg, Huang, Amodei, Pichai and OpenAI's Greg Brockman, who signed a voluntary four-layer accord of internal controls and outside audits. Musk called it grading each other's homework
; the text allows that over time, it may make sense to codify these steps into laws
. The day before, Hinton, Bengio, Clark and OpenAI's Jakub Pachocki co-authored a paper warning that the window for action may close
once an intelligence explosion begins. On October 3 Altman called religious framing of AI models a real safety issue
.
What changed
No scores changed this week.
Where everyone stands
Grouped by that week's scores, so a person changes groups only when their score moves. Open any name for the full reading and sources.
Fast and optimistic 4
Capability 4 or 5, outlook 4 or 5Jensen HuangNvidiaSigned the accord: There's no conflict between innovation, technology and safety.
Capability 5Outlook 5
Huang signed and told reporters, per CBS, There's no conflict between innovation, technology and safety.
It fits his usual line and he said nothing new on risk. Scores hold at 5 and 5.
Sources
Elon MuskSpaceXAISigned the White House accord and described it as the companies grading each other's homework
.Capability 5Outlook 4
Musk signed the Joint Commitment on Frontier Responsibilities on September 29 and explained it in his own terms: We agreed to a number of things that include joint monitoring, board special committees, just generally grading each other's homework.
In a second account he added that this is a lot better than if people just grade their own homework
. The commitment is voluntary and he offered no view on whether it will bind anyone. Scores hold at 5 and 4: he is backing outside checking, but still as an industry arrangement.
Sources
- White House unveils 'super intelligence' executive order and industry accordNextgov, Sept 29
- Trump touts AI boss pledge to self-regulateThe Korea Times, Sept 30
Mark ZuckerbergMetaSigned the accord and called it a starting point for industry-wide standards
.Capability 5Outlook 4
Zuckerberg signed on September 29. The Korea Times reports he said the accord is meant to show AI works in the way that we intend
and called it a starting point for industry-wide standards
. That is a customer-assurance framing more than a risk framing. Scores hold.
Sources
- Trump touts AI boss pledge to self-regulateThe Korea Times, Sept 30
- Trump touts AI executives' accord as a "constitution" for the industryCBS News, Sept 29
Demis HassabisGoogle DeepMindThird silent week in what we could check.Capability 4Outlook 4
No statement verified this week. Scores carried from last week.
Fast and undecided 4
Capability 4 or 5, outlook 3Sam AltmanOpenAIPosted that ascribing religious force
to AI models is a real safety issue
, in a veiled reply to Anthropic.Capability 5Outlook 3
On October 3 Altman posted on X: I am very uncomfortable about people trying to ascribe religious force or a surrender of human judgment to AI models, and think it is a real safety issue.
Coverage ties it to a New York Times report that Anthropic's Chris Olah has met religious leaders about model consciousness and morals. An Anthropic spokesperson said the talks were not about giving Claude religious authority. The post is a safety argument aimed at a rival rather than a change in his own forecast, so scores hold at 5 and 3. OpenAI's president Greg Brockman signed the accord on the company's behalf; Altman himself is not quoted on it in anything we could verify.
Sources
- Sam Altman warns against treating AI as a religious forceStoryboard18, Oct 3
Jack ClarkAnthropicCo-authored the intelligence-explosion paper citing Anthropic's own data on AI-written code.Capability 5Outlook 3
Clark is a co-author of the September 28 paper. The Anthropic figures it cites, over 80% of approved code written by AI and R&D done under light supervision rising from 1% to 26%, are the company's own. Putting them in a public warning is consistent with his position. Scores hold at 5 and 3.
Sources
- Hinton, Bengio and AI lab scientists warn of an intelligence explosionThe Next Web, Sept 28
Shakeel HashimTransformerFirst silent week in what we could check.Capability 5Outlook 3
No statement verified this week. Scores carried from last week.
Clément DelangueHugging FaceFirst silent week in what we could check.Capability 4Outlook 3
No statement verified this week. Scores carried from last week.
Fast and worried 7
Capability 4 or 5, outlook 1 or 2Dario AmodeiAnthropicSigned the accord while saying the mechanism for addressing risk is still under discussion
.Capability 5Outlook 2
Amodei signed on September 29. The Korea Times quotes him: the technology has very real risks, and the mechanism, how we address those risks, is still under discussion
, and whoever wins AI, wins. I think that's very important.
The first line keeps his earlier position that the accord is a start. The second is a competitive framing in the same breath as the call for oversight. He did not repeat last month's call to slow down in anything we could verify this week. Scores hold at 5 and 2.
Sources
- Trump touts AI boss pledge to self-regulateThe Korea Times, Sept 30
- Trump touts AI executives' accord as a "constitution" for the industryCBS News, Sept 29
Yoshua BengioLawZeroCo-author of the intelligence-explosion paper calling for embedded auditors and capability limits.Capability 5Outlook 2
Bengio co-authored the September 28 intelligence-explosion paper (see Hinton). His position is unchanged: the paper's asks, embedded auditors, capability limits and international agreements, go further than the voluntary accord signed the next day. Scores hold at 5 and 2.
Sources
- Hinton, Bengio and AI lab scientists warn of an intelligence explosionThe Next Web, Sept 28
Geoffrey HintonNobel laureateCo-author of a paper warning that the window for action may close
once an intelligence explosion begins.Capability 5Outlook 2
Hinton is a co-author, with Bengio, Clark, OpenAI's Jakub Pachocki and more than 20 others, of a paper on what happens if AI research automation triggers an intelligence explosion. It reports AI writing over 80% of approved code at Anthropic and light-supervision R&D rising from 1% to 26% between March and August 2026, and says Once an intelligence explosion begins, the window for action may close.
It asks for visibility into lab R&D automation, embedded auditors, capability limits and international agreements. No separate Hinton statement was verified. Scores hold at 5 and 2.
Sources
- Hinton, Bengio and AI lab scientists warn of an intelligence explosionThe Next Web, Sept 28
Jakub PachockiOpenAIOpenAI's chief scientist co-authored the paper warning of an intelligence explosion.Capability 5Outlook 2
Added as a guest. OpenAI's chief scientist is a co-author of the September 28 paper warning that once an intelligence explosion begins the window for action may close
. It is rare for the person running OpenAI's research to put his name to that. No separate statement from him was verified, so the reading rests on the paper alone and the scores (5 and 2) are provisional.
Sources
- Hinton, Bengio and AI lab scientists warn of an intelligence explosionThe Next Web, Sept 28
Ajeya CotraMETRFirst silent week in what we could check.Capability 5Outlook 2
No statement verified this week. Scores carried from last week.
Kevin RooseMachine Gods, NPRSecond silent week in what we could check.Capability 5Outlook 2
No statement verified this week. Scores carried from last week.
Bill GatesGates FoundationFirst silent week in what we could check.Capability 4Outlook 1
No statement verified this week. Scores carried from last week.
Doubts the pace 2
Capability 3 or lower, any outlookGary MarcusAI criticFirst silent week in what we could check.Capability 3Outlook 3
No statement verified this week. Scores carried from last week.
Yann LeCunAMI LabsThird silent week in what we could check.Capability 2Outlook 3
No statement verified this week. Scores carried from last week.
Notes on this week's evidence
No roster score changed this week. The accord and the paper are the news, but the people who signed or co-wrote them said things consistent with where they already stood, and quotes we could not verify were left out.
- Altman's quote comes from search extracts of the Axios report and several outlets repeating it. Axios and Bloomberg returned 403 and could not be opened; the linked Storyboard18 page paraphrases rather than quotes.
- No individual quotes were found for Huang beyond the CBS line, nor for Pichai, Brockman, Hinton, Bengio, Clark or Pachocki on the accord or paper. The paper is cited rather than any personal statement.
- Reported but not verified at a primary source, so left out of scores: OpenAI shelving a model called GPT-6.1 Astra over deception findings and pausing frontier training, an FTC investigation of OpenAI, Anthropic and METR, and a SynthID Bio launch by DeepMind (the DeepMind post was read, and contains no Hassabis quote).
- Demis Hassabis, Gary Marcus, Shakeel Hashim, Ajeya Cotra, Yann LeCun, Kevin Roose and others are marked silent because searches turned up nothing verifiable, not because silence is proven. X, Substack archives, podcasts and paywalled outlets could not be checked, so this week's carried list is probably too long.
- Jan Leike, Dan Hendrycks and Karen Hao have now been silent for the full run and drop out of the week file under the five-week rule; they stay on the roster and return when they speak. The week runs at 17 people, under the 20 target, because no other guests were verifiable.